He argues that the same types of thinking and scenarios are unfolding once again in the 21st century, “Three things seem to me necessary to explain the extreme violence of the 20th century. ... These may be summarized as ethnic conflict, economic volatility and empires in decline.”
This is a very serious question of mine and would like to hear any thoughts, speculations, etc on the matter.
A quick review of the book: http://www.nytimes.com/2006/11/12/books/review/Montefiore.t.html?pagewanted=all