Tesla FSD progress over the past 12 months

12 points

4 years ago

I just skimmed videos of drivers testing different versions of Tesla FSD over the past year. Progress over the past 12 months has been... much more significant than I had realized until now.

The number of edge cases that trip up Tesla FSD keeps getting smaller and smaller, and the software keeps getting better and better at failing gracefully, asking the driver in advance to take over in fewer and fewer outlier edge cases.

Progress has been so significant that I've changed my mind about Tesla FSD's prospects. I now think that in the not too distant future it's possible that Tesla FSD will become safe enough for me. It's not 100% certain, but it sure seems possible now.

Compare:

* A year ago: https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=tesla+fsd+beta+6

* 11 months ago: https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=tesla+fsd+beta+7

* 10 months ago: https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=tesla+fsd+beta+8

* 5 months ago: https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=tesla+fsd+beta+9

* 3 months ago https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=tesla+fsd+beta+10.1

* 2 month ago: https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=tesla+fsd+beta+10.2

* 1 month ago: https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=tesla+fsd+beta+10.3

* 3 weeks ago: https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=tesla+fsd+beta+10.4

* 2 weeks ago: https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=tesla+fsd+beta+10.5

* 1 week ago: https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=tesla+fsd+beta+10.6

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