Sources:
Population 79,000; market watch article above
2%: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/feb/25/what-is-coronavirus-symptoms-wuhan-covid-19 and http://www.cidrap.umn.edu/news-perspective/2020/02/study-72000-covid-19-patients-finds-23-death-rate
I want to understand if the numbers being reported from various sources are correct or not.
Fact coronavirus kills 2% of the world population
Question is it actually 2% or are they under reporting the cases reported?
Cases reported at least 79,000 world wide
Estimated death toll percentage: 2%
Reported deaths: 2622 people
Test A
x is the population of people who are infected
2622 is the reported number of deaths
0.02 is 2% is the reported percentage of infected that die from the virus
x0.02 = 2622
(x0.02/0.02) = 2622/0.02
x = 2622/0.02
x = 131,100
Conclusion: Either it's not 2% or the population is misreported; if it's 2% then the population is 131,000 not 79,000 reported by the news.
Thus given the population differences, we can calculate how much lower the 79,000 is then the un reported number; 60.2%. 79000/131100 = 60.2%
Test B:
Now lets figure out with the 79000 population what the correct death rate is:
x is the percentage of deaths we're looking for. 79,000 is the reported population from the article
2622 is the reported number of deaths
79000 * x = 2622
(79000 * x)/7900 = 2622/79000
x = 2622/79000
x = 0.033
Conclusion: Thus given 79,000 we can reasonably estimate that the media is lying to us (or using bad math) and the death toll percentage is 3.3% of the infected cases.
Conclusion of both numbers:
1. Either 3.3% is the true percentage of people who will die from the virus
2. Or the population of infect is much larger then what is being reported